Tag Archives: Consumer Sentiment

Recap of Today’s Economic Data

There was a significant amount of economic data released today in advance of the Christmas holiday. There were no major surprises with 3 data points missing consensus, 2 came in at consensus and 1 exceeded consensus. The 3 missed were by a slim margin. The markets are mostly flat on the news.

Typically headlines focus on year-over-year (Y/Y) and (or) month-over-month (M/M) changes. While this is an important view I also like to consider the absolute level. I will do so in the following charts. Read more of this post

Friday’s Economic Data: Green Light for QE2

There was no shortage of economic data released today however there were no major moves in the indices as everyone seems to be waiting for the Fed’s announcement next Wednesday. Released today were GDP, Employment Cost Index, Consumer Sentiment and Chicago PMI. Let’s have a look in that order.

GDP

GDP came in at 2.0% growth quarter over quarter (SAAR) which was in line with expectations. Personal consumption showed surprising strength, contributing 1.8% to growth with change in inventory levels also contributing 1.4%. Inventory restocking continues to be a strong contributor to GDP growth since late 2009 and it remains to be seen how long this will last. GDP growth continues, albeit at a rate slower than typical recoveries. For further reading on what the Consumer Metrics Growth Index says about Q4 GDP, see here.

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